GLuck Yungstar 2026 Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
QUAZAR#99 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
70%30%
probability at match start · final 1:2
VVP.Futurewin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2QUAZAR ban
38%60%
QUAZAR · 12 mapsedge VP.Future +22%VP.Future · 1 map
CacheVP.Future ban
63%50%
QUAZAR · 12 mapsedge QUAZAR +13%VP.Future · 0 maps
MirageQUAZAR pick
63%50%
QUAZAR · 12 mapsedge QUAZAR +13%VP.Future · 0 maps
NukeQUAZAR ban
64%50%
QUAZAR · 10 mapsedge QUAZAR +14%VP.Future · 0 maps
AnubisVP.Future ban
58%50%
QUAZAR · 8 mapsedge QUAZAR +8%VP.Future · 0 maps
InfernoVP.Future pick
50%60%
QUAZAR · 6 mapsedge VP.Future +10%VP.Future · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUAZAR remove Dust2
2. BanVP.Future remove Cache
3. PickQUAZAR take Mirage
4. PickVP.Future take Inferno
5. BanVP.Future remove Anubis
6. BanQUAZAR remove Nuke
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed12:16
QUAZAR 61%VP.Future 39%
The model gave 61% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by VP.Future.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
QUAZAR 26%VP.Future 74%
The model gave 74% on VP.Future — the map was taken by QUAZAR.
Mirageprediction missed10:13
QUAZAR 63%VP.Future 37%
The model gave 63% on QUAZAR — the map was taken by VP.Future.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUAZAR · 70%
Series resultVP.Future 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 3