CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%27%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 4 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +23%MEIA NOITE · 11 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%38%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 6 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +22%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
CacheMEIA NOITE ban
75%33%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 8 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +42%MEIA NOITE · 5 maps
Dust2QUINTESSÊNCIA pick
75%46%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 4 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +29%MEIA NOITE · 9 maps
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
60%50%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +10%MEIA NOITE · 6 maps
DefaultMEIA NOITE pick
50%80%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +30%MEIA NOITE · 6 maps
InfernoMEIA NOITE ban
50%57%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 2 mapsedge MEIA NOITE +7%MEIA NOITE · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
2. BanMEIA NOITE remove Cache
3. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Dust2
4. PickMEIA NOITE take Default
5. BanMEIA NOITE remove Inferno
6. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (60% / 38%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed4:13
QUINTESSÊNCIA 80%MEIA NOITE 20%
The model gave 80% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Ancientprediction missed8:13
QUINTESSÊNCIA 71%MEIA NOITE 29%
The model gave 71% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by MEIA NOITE.
Model check result
Model favoriteQUINTESSÊNCIA · 72%
Series resultMEIA NOITE 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2