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CCT 2026 Challengers South America Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
QUINTESSÊNCIA#200 in the world · win 2:0
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
METANOIA Wolves#210 in the world · loss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2QUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%47%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsnearly even +3%METANOIA Wolves · 13 maps
MirageMETANOIA Wolves ban
50%18%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +32%METANOIA Wolves · 7 maps
AncientMETANOIA Wolves pick
50%60%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge METANOIA Wolves +10%METANOIA Wolves · 6 maps
InfernoMETANOIA Wolves ban
60%33%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +27%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%44%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +6%METANOIA Wolves · 5 maps
CacheQUINTESSÊNCIA pick
60%29%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 1 mapedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +31%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
NukeQUINTESSÊNCIA ban
50%43%
QUINTESSÊNCIA · 0 mapsedge QUINTESSÊNCIA +7%METANOIA Wolves · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Nuke
2. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Mirage
3. PickQUINTESSÊNCIA take Cache
4. PickMETANOIA Wolves take Ancient
5. BanMETANOIA Wolves remove Inferno
6. BanQUINTESSÊNCIA remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (50% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
QUINTESSÊNCIA 84%METANOIA Wolves 16%
The model gave 84% on QUINTESSÊNCIA — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
QUINTESSÊNCIA 50%METANOIA Wolves 50%
The model gave 50% on METANOIA Wolves — the map was taken by QUINTESSÊNCIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteMETANOIA Wolves · 55%
Series resultQUINTESSÊNCIA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2