CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Quintessencewin 2:0series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheQuintessence pick
50%67%
Quintessence · 2 mapsedge TitanFlow +17%TitanFlow · 2 maps
MirageTitanFlow ban
67%50%
Quintessence · 2 mapsedge Quintessence +17%TitanFlow · 2 maps
InfernoTitanFlow ban
60%33%
Quintessence · 1 mapedge Quintessence +27%TitanFlow · 2 maps
Dust2TitanFlow pick
40%60%
Quintessence · 1 mapedge TitanFlow +20%TitanFlow · 1 map
DefaultQuintessence ban
50%60%
Quintessence · 0 mapsedge TitanFlow +10%TitanFlow · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanQuintessence remove Default
2. BanTitanFlow remove Inferno
3. PickQuintessence take Cache
4. PickTitanFlow take Dust2
5. BanTitanFlow remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
Quintessence 33%TitanFlow 67%
The model gave 67% on TitanFlow — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Mirageprediction correct13:6
Quintessence 64%TitanFlow 36%
The model gave 64% on Quintessence — the map was taken by Quintessence.
Model check result
Model favoriteQuintessence · 59%
Series resultQuintessence 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2