GLuck Moscow Cyber Games 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Rare Atom#105 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:2
5star#35 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancient5star ban
60%20%
Rare Atom · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +40%5star · 6 maps
CacheRare Atom pick
67%63%
Rare Atom · 2 mapsnearly even +4%5star · 4 maps
Infernopossible decider
60%44%
Rare Atom · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +16%5star · 5 maps
NukeRare Atom ban
50%56%
Rare Atom · 0 mapsedge 5star +6%5star · 5 maps
MirageRare Atom ban
60%50%
Rare Atom · 1 mapedge Rare Atom +10%5star · 2 maps
Dust25star ban
50%50%
Rare Atom · 2 mapsnearly even +0%5star · 0 maps
Anubis5star pick
50%60%
Rare Atom · 0 mapsedge 5star +10%5star · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
2. Ban5star remove Dust2
3. PickRare Atom take Cache
4. Pick5star take Anubis
5. Ban5star remove Ancient
6. BanRare Atom remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (60% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction missed8:13
Rare Atom 62%5star 38%
The model gave 62% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by 5star.
Cacheprediction correct13:10
Rare Atom 58%5star 42%
The model gave 58% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Rare Atom 86%5star 14%
The model gave 86% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by 5star.
Model check result
Model favorite5star · 51%
Series result5star 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3