MaceMedia VOID Autumn Cup 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rare Atom#127 in the world · win 1:0series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Alter Ego#132 in the world · loss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Alter Ego pick
59%63%
Rare Atom · 23 mapsnearly even -4%Alter Ego · 15 maps
Ancientpossible decider
53%69%
Rare Atom · 13 mapsedge Alter Ego +16%Alter Ego · 9 maps
CacheRare Atom pick
71%60%
Rare Atom · 13 mapsedge Rare Atom +11%Alter Ego · 6 maps
InfernoAlter Ego ban
63%56%
Rare Atom · 12 mapsedge Rare Atom +7%Alter Ego · 5 maps
MirageAlter Ego ban
58%63%
Rare Atom · 8 mapsedge Alter Ego +5%Alter Ego · 4 maps
AnubisRare Atom ban
63%67%
Rare Atom · 4 mapsnearly even -4%Alter Ego · 2 maps
DefaultRare Atom ban
25%50%
Rare Atom · 4 mapsedge Alter Ego +25%Alter Ego · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRare Atom remove Default
2. BanAlter Ego remove Inferno
3. PickRare Atom take Cache
4. PickAlter Ego take Dust2
5. BanAlter Ego remove Mirage
6. BanRare Atom remove Anubis
DeciderAncient (53% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed1:0
Rare Atom 25%Alter Ego 75%
The model gave 75% on Alter Ego — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Model check result
Model favoriteRare Atom · 51%
Series resultRare Atom 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 1