IEM Beijing 2026 Asia Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Rare Atom#98 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FlyQuest#60 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Rare Atom pick
69%50%
Rare Atom · 12 mapsedge Rare Atom +19%FlyQuest · 6 maps
Infernopossible decider
55%70%
Rare Atom · 7 mapsedge FlyQuest +15%FlyQuest · 6 maps
AnubisFlyQuest pick
50%77%
Rare Atom · 2 mapsedge FlyQuest +27%FlyQuest · 9 maps
AncientRare Atom ban
50%60%
Rare Atom · 8 mapsedge FlyQuest +10%FlyQuest · 1 map
CacheFlyQuest ban
64%60%
Rare Atom · 7 mapsnearly even +4%FlyQuest · 1 map
MirageFlyQuest ban
56%40%
Rare Atom · 5 mapsedge Rare Atom +16%FlyQuest · 1 map
NukeRare Atom ban
50%57%
Rare Atom · 0 mapsedge FlyQuest +7%FlyQuest · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRare Atom remove Nuke
2. BanFlyQuest remove Mirage
3. PickRare Atom take Dust2
4. PickFlyQuest take Anubis
5. BanFlyQuest remove Cache
6. BanRare Atom remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (55% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed17:19
Rare Atom 71%FlyQuest 29%
The model gave 71% on Rare Atom — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Anubisprediction missed13:10
Rare Atom 21%FlyQuest 79%
The model gave 79% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by Rare Atom.
Infernoprediction correct4:13
Rare Atom 34%FlyQuest 66%
The model gave 66% on FlyQuest — the map was taken by FlyQuest.
Model check result
Model favoriteFlyQuest · 55%
Series resultFlyQuest 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3