LeonBet Masters Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
RBLS#93 in the world · win 2:0series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Nordic Partners#118 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisNordic Partners pick
50%43%
RBLS · 4 mapsedge RBLS +7%Nordic Partners · 10 maps
Dust2RBLS pick
50%29%
RBLS · 4 mapsedge RBLS +21%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
CacheRBLS ban
50%38%
RBLS · 2 mapsedge RBLS +12%Nordic Partners · 4 maps
MirageRBLS ban
50%56%
RBLS · 0 mapsedge Nordic Partners +6%Nordic Partners · 5 maps
NukeNordic Partners ban
67%57%
RBLS · 2 mapsedge RBLS +10%Nordic Partners · 3 maps
AncientNordic Partners ban
67%33%
RBLS · 2 mapsedge RBLS +34%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%33%
RBLS · 0 mapsedge RBLS +17%Nordic Partners · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRBLS remove Mirage
2. BanNordic Partners remove Ancient
3. PickRBLS take Dust2
4. PickNordic Partners take Anubis
5. BanNordic Partners remove Nuke
6. BanRBLS remove Cache
DeciderInferno (50% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
RBLS 69%Nordic Partners 31%
The model gave 69% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Cacheprediction correct13:2
RBLS 60%Nordic Partners 40%
The model gave 60% on RBLS — the map was taken by RBLS.
Model check result
Model favoriteRBLS · 61%
Series resultRBLS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2