?
CCT 2026 South America Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Red Feet#222 in the world · win 1:0
series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Vasco#232 in the world · loss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Red Feet ban
36%40%
Red Feet · 7 mapsnearly even -4%Vasco · 6 maps
DefaultVasco ban
60%20%
Red Feet · 1 mapedge Red Feet +40%Vasco · 11 maps
InfernoRed Feet pick
60%50%
Red Feet · 6 mapsedge Red Feet +10%Vasco · 6 maps
Miragepossible decider
45%44%
Red Feet · 7 mapsnearly even +1%Vasco · 5 maps
AncientVasco pick
29%67%
Red Feet · 3 mapsedge Vasco +38%Vasco · 2 maps
AnubisVasco ban
50%40%
Red Feet · 0 mapsedge Red Feet +10%Vasco · 1 map
NukeRed Feet ban
40%50%
Red Feet · 1 mapedge Vasco +10%Vasco · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRed Feet remove Nuke
2. BanVasco remove Default
3. PickRed Feet take Inferno
4. PickVasco take Ancient
5. BanVasco remove Anubis
6. BanRed Feet remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (45% / 44%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Red Feet 86%Vasco 14%
The model gave 86% on Red Feet — the map was taken by Red Feet.
Model check result
Model favoriteRed Feet · 67%
Series resultRed Feet 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1