FRAG TAP Reloaded 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Reign Above#324 in the world · win 2:1series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientReign Above pick
60%40%
Reign Above · 1 mapedge Reign Above +20%FRZ · 1 map
InfernoFRZ pick
40%40%
Reign Above · 1 mapnearly even +0%FRZ · 1 map
AnubisFRZ ban
60%50%
Reign Above · 1 mapedge Reign Above +10%FRZ · 0 maps
DefaultFRZ ban
60%50%
Reign Above · 1 mapedge Reign Above +10%FRZ · 0 maps
Dust2Reign Above ban
40%50%
Reign Above · 1 mapedge FRZ +10%FRZ · 0 maps
MirageReign Above ban
40%50%
Reign Above · 1 mapedge FRZ +10%FRZ · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanReign Above remove Dust2
2. BanFRZ remove Anubis
3. PickReign Above take Ancient
4. PickFRZ take Inferno
5. BanFRZ remove Default
6. BanReign Above remove Mirage
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed11:13
Reign Above 67%FRZ 33%
The model gave 67% on Reign Above — the map was taken by FRZ.
Anubisprediction correct13:7
Reign Above 63%FRZ 37%
The model gave 63% on Reign Above — the map was taken by Reign Above.
Mirageprediction missed13:10
Reign Above 40%FRZ 60%
The model gave 60% on FRZ — the map was taken by Reign Above.
Model check result
Model favoriteFRZ · 51%
Series resultReign Above 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3