European Pro League Series 9 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Bushido Wildcats#82 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Bushido Wildcats pick
50%76%
Rune Eaters · 22 mapsedge Bushido Wildcats +26%Bushido Wildcats · 41 map
MirageRune Eaters pick
62%57%
Rune Eaters · 17 mapsedge Rune Eaters +5%Bushido Wildcats · 31 map
NukeRune Eaters ban
67%52%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +15%Bushido Wildcats · 27 maps
InfernoBushido Wildcats ban
38%40%
Rune Eaters · 9 mapsnearly even -2%Bushido Wildcats · 11 maps
CacheRune Eaters ban
57%58%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsnearly even -1%Bushido Wildcats · 15 maps
AncientBushido Wildcats ban
50%40%
Rune Eaters · 14 mapsedge Rune Eaters +10%Bushido Wildcats · 1 map
Anubispossible decider
71%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Bushido Wildcats · 12 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Cache
2. BanBushido Wildcats remove Ancient
3. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
4. PickBushido Wildcats take Dust2
5. BanBushido Wildcats remove Inferno
6. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
DeciderAnubis (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
Rune Eaters 27%Bushido Wildcats 73%
The model gave 73% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Cacheprediction correct1:13
Rune Eaters 46%Bushido Wildcats 54%
The model gave 54% on Bushido Wildcats — the map was taken by Bushido Wildcats.
Model check result
Model favoriteBushido Wildcats · 50%
Series resultBushido Wildcats 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2