KOKONISTER Satpayev Esports Cup 2026 Finals · BO5
result vs prediction
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · win 3:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 3:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Rune Eaters pick
55%40%
Rune Eaters · 25 mapsedge Rune Eaters +15%DNK · 1 map
MirageDNK ban
59%40%
Rune Eaters · 25 mapsedge Rune Eaters +19%DNK · 1 map
AncientRune Eaters pick
48%50%
Rune Eaters · 19 mapsnearly even -2%DNK · 0 maps
InfernoDNK pick
50%33%
Rune Eaters · 10 mapsedge Rune Eaters +17%DNK · 2 maps
Nukepossible decider
44%50%
Rune Eaters · 5 mapsedge DNK +6%DNK · 0 maps
DefaultDNK pick
43%50%
Rune Eaters · 3 mapsedge DNK +7%DNK · 0 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
33%50%
Rune Eaters · 2 mapsedge DNK +17%DNK · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
2. BanDNK remove Mirage
3. PickRune Eaters take Dust2
4. PickDNK take Inferno
5. PickRune Eaters take Ancient
6. PickDNK take Default
DeciderNuke (44% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:5
Rune Eaters 62%DNK 38%
The model gave 62% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
Rune Eaters 71%DNK 29%
The model gave 71% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Anubisprediction missed13:4
Rune Eaters 47%DNK 53%
The model gave 53% on DNK — the map was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 73%
Series resultRune Eaters 3:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3