ESL Challenger League Season 52 Europe Cup 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Ryvex#181 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
40%60%
probability at match start · final 0:2
WBT Academy#110 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AnubisRyvex ban
50%56%
Ryvex · 0 mapsedge WBT Academy +6%WBT Academy · 12 maps
Nukepossible decider
38%36%
Ryvex · 4 mapsnearly even +2%WBT Academy · 7 maps
AncientRyvex pick
67%63%
Ryvex · 5 mapsnearly even +4%WBT Academy · 4 maps
Dust2WBT Academy pick
43%70%
Ryvex · 3 mapsedge WBT Academy +27%WBT Academy · 6 maps
MirageWBT Academy ban
67%40%
Ryvex · 2 mapsedge Ryvex +27%WBT Academy · 6 maps
CacheWBT Academy ban
43%50%
Ryvex · 3 mapsedge WBT Academy +7%WBT Academy · 0 maps
DefaultRyvex ban
50%60%
Ryvex · 0 mapsedge WBT Academy +10%WBT Academy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanRyvex remove Anubis
2. BanWBT Academy remove Cache
3. PickRyvex take Ancient
4. PickWBT Academy take Dust2
5. BanWBT Academy remove Mirage
6. BanRyvex remove Default
DeciderNuke (38% / 36%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Ryvex 77%WBT Academy 23%
The model gave 77% on Ryvex — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Dust2prediction correct6:13
Ryvex 22%WBT Academy 78%
The model gave 78% on WBT Academy — the map was taken by WBT Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteWBT Academy · 60%
Series resultWBT Academy 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2