CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 2:1
benched gods#162 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSaint Sinners ban
40%58%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge benched gods +18%benched gods · 15 maps
AncientSaint Sinners ban
43%50%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsedge benched gods +7%benched gods · 12 maps
Defaultbenched gods pick
44%83%
Saint Sinners · 5 mapsedge benched gods +39%benched gods · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%40%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge Saint Sinners +20%benched gods · 11 maps
Miragebenched gods ban
29%31%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsnearly even -2%benched gods · 9 maps
Dust2Saint Sinners pick
57%42%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsedge Saint Sinners +15%benched gods · 8 maps
Nukebenched gods ban
44%50%
Saint Sinners · 5 mapsedge benched gods +6%benched gods · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
2. Banbenched gods remove Nuke
3. PickSaint Sinners take Dust2
4. Pickbenched gods take Default
5. Banbenched gods remove Mirage
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Ancient
DeciderAnubis (60% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Anubisprediction missed8:13
Saint Sinners 67%benched gods 33%
The model gave 67% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by benched gods.
Mirageprediction correct13:7
Saint Sinners 50%benched gods 50%
The model gave 50% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Dust2prediction correct13:7
Saint Sinners 65%benched gods 35%
The model gave 65% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoritebenched gods · 53%
Series resultSaint Sinners 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3