CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
KUUSAMO#177 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSaint Sinners pick
50%50%
Saint Sinners · 4 mapsnearly even +0%KUUSAMO · 4 maps
Dust2KUUSAMO ban
57%29%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsedge Saint Sinners +28%KUUSAMO · 3 maps
MirageSaint Sinners ban
29%50%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsedge KUUSAMO +21%KUUSAMO · 2 maps
Ancientpossible decider
43%40%
Saint Sinners · 3 mapsnearly even +3%KUUSAMO · 1 map
CacheSaint Sinners ban
40%57%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge KUUSAMO +17%KUUSAMO · 3 maps
DefaultKUUSAMO pick
50%50%
Saint Sinners · 4 mapsnearly even +0%KUUSAMO · 0 maps
InfernoKUUSAMO ban
40%33%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge Saint Sinners +7%KUUSAMO · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
2. BanKUUSAMO remove Dust2
3. PickSaint Sinners take Nuke
4. PickKUUSAMO take Default
5. BanKUUSAMO remove Inferno
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Mirage
DeciderAncient (43% / 40%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
Saint Sinners 50%KUUSAMO 50%
The model gave 50% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by KUUSAMO.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
Saint Sinners 47%KUUSAMO 53%
The model gave 53% on KUUSAMO — the map was taken by KUUSAMO.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 55%
Series resultKUUSAMO 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2