CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 1:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Defaultpossible decider
44%35%
Saint Sinners · 5 mapsedge Saint Sinners +9%Mai Tai · 19 maps
MirageSaint Sinners pick
44%36%
Saint Sinners · 5 mapsedge Saint Sinners +8%Mai Tai · 18 maps
NukeSaint Sinners ban
40%31%
Saint Sinners · 6 mapsedge Saint Sinners +9%Mai Tai · 9 maps
AncientMai Tai pick
38%46%
Saint Sinners · 4 mapsedge Mai Tai +8%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
63%33%
Saint Sinners · 4 mapsedge Saint Sinners +30%Mai Tai · 8 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
50%36%
Saint Sinners · 2 mapsedge Saint Sinners +14%Mai Tai · 7 maps
CacheSaint Sinners ban
40%50%
Saint Sinners · 1 mapedge Mai Tai +10%Mai Tai · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSaint Sinners remove Cache
2. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
3. PickSaint Sinners take Mirage
4. PickMai Tai take Ancient
5. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
6. BanSaint Sinners remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (44% / 35%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction correct1:0
Saint Sinners 60%Mai Tai 40%
The model gave 60% on Saint Sinners — the map was taken by Saint Sinners.
Model check result
Model favoriteSaint Sinners · 73%
Series resultSaint Sinners 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1