ROG JOURNEY Autumn 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sangal#48 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
47%53%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Eternal Fire#46 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSangal pick
67%60%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +7%Eternal Fire · 16 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%53%
Sangal · 8 mapsnearly even -3%Eternal Fire · 15 maps
AncientSangal ban
56%67%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Eternal Fire +11%Eternal Fire · 17 maps
Dust2Eternal Fire pick
40%72%
Sangal · 6 mapsedge Eternal Fire +32%Eternal Fire · 14 maps
AnubisEternal Fire ban
67%54%
Sangal · 5 mapsedge Sangal +13%Eternal Fire · 9 maps
InfernoSangal ban
50%57%
Sangal · 0 mapsedge Eternal Fire +7%Eternal Fire · 10 maps
NukeEternal Fire ban
75%50%
Sangal · 8 mapsedge Sangal +25%Eternal Fire · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSangal remove Inferno
2. BanEternal Fire remove Nuke
3. PickSangal take Cache
4. PickEternal Fire take Dust2
5. BanEternal Fire remove Anubis
6. BanSangal remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct5:13
Sangal 19%Eternal Fire 81%
The model gave 81% on Eternal Fire — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Cacheprediction missed11:13
Sangal 60%Eternal Fire 40%
The model gave 60% on Sangal — the map was taken by Eternal Fire.
Model check result
Model favoriteEternal Fire · 53%
Series resultEternal Fire 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2