CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sashi#94 in the world · win 2:1series probability
46%54%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 1:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS pick
27%44%
Sashi · 11 mapsedge SINNERS +17%SINNERS · 5 maps
AncientSINNERS ban
56%30%
Sashi · 5 mapsedge Sashi +26%SINNERS · 6 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
46%33%
Sashi · 9 mapsedge Sashi +13%SINNERS · 2 maps
InfernoSashi pick
75%38%
Sashi · 4 mapsedge Sashi +37%SINNERS · 4 maps
MirageSashi ban
50%55%
Sashi · 0 mapsedge SINNERS +5%SINNERS · 7 maps
Cachepossible decider
71%50%
Sashi · 3 mapsedge Sashi +21%SINNERS · 2 maps
OverpassSashi ban
67%60%
Sashi · 2 mapsedge Sashi +7%SINNERS · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSashi remove Mirage
2. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
3. PickSashi take Inferno
4. PickSINNERS take Dust2
5. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
6. BanSashi remove Overpass
DeciderCache (71% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct9:13
Sashi 29%SINNERS 71%
The model gave 71% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Cacheprediction correct13:11
Sashi 74%SINNERS 26%
The model gave 74% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Sashi 83%SINNERS 17%
The model gave 83% on Sashi — the map was taken by Sashi.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 54%
Series resultSashi 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3