CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW#61 in the world · win 2:0series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Entropy#159 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSAW ban
42%50%
SAW · 8 mapsedge Entropy +8%Entropy · 8 maps
AnubisEntropy pick
38%54%
SAW · 4 mapsedge Entropy +16%Entropy · 9 maps
Dust2Entropy ban
46%50%
SAW · 9 mapsnearly even -4%Entropy · 4 maps
MirageEntropy ban
38%38%
SAW · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Entropy · 9 maps
InfernoSAW pick
73%38%
SAW · 7 mapsedge SAW +35%Entropy · 4 maps
OverpassSAW ban
50%38%
SAW · 0 mapsedge SAW +12%Entropy · 4 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%60%
SAW · 2 mapsedge Entropy +10%Entropy · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW remove Overpass
2. BanEntropy remove Dust2
3. PickSAW take Inferno
4. PickEntropy take Anubis
5. BanEntropy remove Mirage
6. BanSAW remove Ancient
DeciderDefault (50% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:7
SAW 53%Entropy 47%
The model gave 53% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Mirageprediction missed13:9
SAW 46%Entropy 54%
The model gave 54% on Entropy — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteEntropy · 64%
Series resultSAW 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2