CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 3 · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW#61 in the world · win 2:0series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSAW ban
38%40%
SAW · 4 mapsnearly even -2%Subtop De France · 1 map
Dust2Subtop De France ban
50%50%
SAW · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Subtop De France · 0 maps
InfernoSubtop De France ban
71%40%
SAW · 3 mapsedge SAW +31%Subtop De France · 1 map
AnubisSAW pick
43%50%
SAW · 3 mapsedge Subtop De France +7%Subtop De France · 0 maps
MirageSAW ban
33%50%
SAW · 2 mapsedge Subtop De France +17%Subtop De France · 0 maps
NukeSubtop De France pick
33%50%
SAW · 2 mapsedge Subtop De France +17%Subtop De France · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW remove Mirage
2. BanSubtop De France remove Inferno
3. PickSAW take Anubis
4. PickSubtop De France take Nuke
5. BanSubtop De France remove Dust2
6. BanSAW remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Infernoprediction correct13:4
SAW 81%Subtop De France 19%
The model gave 81% on SAW — the map was taken by SAW.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
SAW 47%Subtop De France 53%
The model gave 53% on Subtop De France — the map was taken by SAW.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW · 57%
Series resultSAW 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2