CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · win 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Misa#115 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Misa pick
60%58%
SAW Youngsters · 1 mapnearly even +2%Misa · 22 maps
MirageMisa ban
50%39%
SAW Youngsters · 4 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +11%Misa · 14 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
67%50%
SAW Youngsters · 5 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +17%Misa · 8 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
50%43%
SAW Youngsters · 2 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%Misa · 10 maps
Anubispossible decider
60%50%
SAW Youngsters · 1 mapedge SAW Youngsters +10%Misa · 10 maps
DefaultSAW Youngsters ban
40%50%
SAW Youngsters · 1 mapedge Misa +10%Misa · 4 maps
AncientMisa ban
57%50%
SAW Youngsters · 3 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +7%Misa · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
2. BanMisa remove Ancient
3. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
4. PickMisa take Dust2
5. BanMisa remove Mirage
6. BanSAW Youngsters remove Default
DeciderAnubis (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:3
SAW Youngsters 49%Misa 51%
The model gave 51% on Misa — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Infernoprediction correct16:14
SAW Youngsters 69%Misa 31%
The model gave 69% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Model check result
Model favoriteSAW Youngsters · 50%
Series resultSAW Youngsters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2