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CCT 2026 South America Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Sementes do Mal#245 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 2:1
DAMAJUANA#232 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
CacheSementes do Mal pick
33%50%
Sementes do Mal · 5 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +17%DAMAJUANA · 4 maps
DefaultDAMAJUANA pick
50%63%
Sementes do Mal · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +13%DAMAJUANA · 4 maps
MirageSementes do Mal ban
22%43%
Sementes do Mal · 5 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +21%DAMAJUANA · 3 maps
AnubisDAMAJUANA ban
50%38%
Sementes do Mal · 0 mapsedge Sementes do Mal +12%DAMAJUANA · 4 maps
Dust2DAMAJUANA ban
25%50%
Sementes do Mal · 4 mapsedge DAMAJUANA +25%DAMAJUANA · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
40%33%
Sementes do Mal · 1 mapedge Sementes do Mal +7%DAMAJUANA · 2 maps
AncientSementes do Mal ban
40%40%
Sementes do Mal · 1 mapnearly even +0%DAMAJUANA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSementes do Mal remove Ancient
2. BanDAMAJUANA remove Dust2
3. PickSementes do Mal take Cache
4. PickDAMAJUANA take Default
5. BanDAMAJUANA remove Anubis
6. BanSementes do Mal remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (40% / 33%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
Sementes do Mal 36%DAMAJUANA 64%
The model gave 64% on DAMAJUANA — the map was taken by DAMAJUANA.
Infernoprediction correct13:11
Sementes do Mal 54%DAMAJUANA 46%
The model gave 54% on Sementes do Mal — the map was taken by Sementes do Mal.
Ancientprediction correct13:9
Sementes do Mal 50%DAMAJUANA 50%
The model gave 50% on Sementes do Mal — the map was taken by Sementes do Mal.
Model check result
Model favoriteDAMAJUANA · 51%
Series resultSementes do Mal 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map3 of 3