ESL Challenger League Season 52 North America Cup 1 · BO3
pre-match prediction
Shimmer#202 in the worldseries probability
48%52%
model: map winrate + form + head-to-head
Before the match the model relies on historical data: each team's winrate on every map in the pool over 3 months, current form and head-to-head. Once the veto happens, the prediction is recalculated for the real map pool.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientShimmer pick
50%50%
Shimmer · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Elusive · 0 maps
Dust2Elusive ban
50%50%
Shimmer · 2 mapsnearly even +0%Elusive · 0 maps
InfernoShimmer ban
40%50%
Shimmer · 1 mapedge Elusive +10%Elusive · 0 maps
MirageElusive ban
60%50%
Shimmer · 1 mapedge Shimmer +10%Elusive · 0 maps
NukeElusive pick
40%50%
Shimmer · 1 mapedge Elusive +10%Elusive · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShimmer remove Inferno
2. BanElusive remove Mirage
3. PickShimmer take Ancient
4. PickElusive take Nuke
5. BanElusive remove Dust2