ESL Challenger League Season 52 South America Cup 1 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
ShindeN#87 in the worldseries probability now
57%43%
was 51% pre-match
ALKA#121 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Ancientpossible decider
56%57%
ShindeN · 5 mapsnearly even -1%ALKA · 10 maps
Dust2ALKA pick
50%63%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge ALKA +13%ALKA · 12 maps
InfernoShindeN pick
73%64%
ShindeN · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +9%ALKA · 7 maps
NukeShindeN ban
30%50%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge ALKA +20%ALKA · 6 maps
MirageALKA ban
50%55%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge ALKA +5%ALKA · 7 maps
CacheShindeN ban
33%56%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge ALKA +23%ALKA · 5 maps
OverpassALKA ban
71%50%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +21%ALKA · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Nuke
2. BanALKA remove Overpass
3. PickShindeN take Inferno
4. PickALKA take Dust2
5. BanALKA remove Mirage
6. BanShindeN remove Cache
DeciderAncient (56% / 57%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Ancientfinished · ALKA pick13:7
ShindeN won — 100%
Dust2not played · ShindeN pick— : —
ShindeN 40%ALKA 60%
Historical winrate over 3 months: ShindeN 50% (2 maps) vs 63% (12 maps) for ALKA.
Cachenot played · decider— : —
ShindeN 29%ALKA 71%
Historical winrate over 3 months: ShindeN 33% (2 maps) vs 56% (5 maps) for ALKA.