StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 South America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#77 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BESTIA#65 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2BESTIA pick
60%69%
ShindeN · 1 mapedge BESTIA +9%BESTIA · 12 maps
InfernoBESTIA ban
73%38%
ShindeN · 7 mapsedge ShindeN +35%BESTIA · 4 maps
AncientBESTIA ban
56%56%
ShindeN · 5 mapsnearly even +0%BESTIA · 5 maps
NukeShindeN ban
33%56%
ShindeN · 5 mapsedge BESTIA +23%BESTIA · 5 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%71%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge BESTIA +21%BESTIA · 3 maps
CacheShindeN ban
33%57%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge BESTIA +24%BESTIA · 3 maps
OverpassShindeN pick
71%40%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +31%BESTIA · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Cache
2. BanBESTIA remove Inferno
3. PickShindeN take Overpass
4. PickBESTIA take Dust2
5. BanBESTIA remove Ancient
6. BanShindeN remove Nuke
DeciderMirage (50% / 71%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct11:13
ShindeN 31%BESTIA 69%
The model gave 69% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Dust2prediction correct11:13
ShindeN 38%BESTIA 62%
The model gave 62% on BESTIA — the map was taken by BESTIA.
Model check result
Model favoriteBESTIA · 52%
Series resultBESTIA 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2