Thunderpick World Championship 2026 South America Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
ShindeN#77 in the world · win 2:0series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
MIBR Academy#134 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeShindeN pick
40%60%
ShindeN · 6 mapsedge MIBR Academy +20%MIBR Academy · 6 maps
MirageMIBR Academy pick
63%60%
ShindeN · 4 mapsnearly even +3%MIBR Academy · 6 maps
Dust2MIBR Academy ban
50%38%
ShindeN · 4 mapsedge ShindeN +12%MIBR Academy · 4 maps
AncientShindeN ban
60%56%
ShindeN · 1 mapnearly even +4%MIBR Academy · 5 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%43%
ShindeN · 2 mapsedge ShindeN +24%MIBR Academy · 3 maps
InfernoMIBR Academy ban
57%50%
ShindeN · 3 mapsedge ShindeN +7%MIBR Academy · 0 maps
AnubisShindeN ban
50%50%
ShindeN · 0 mapsnearly even +0%MIBR Academy · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanShindeN remove Anubis
2. BanMIBR Academy remove Inferno
3. PickShindeN take Nuke
4. PickMIBR Academy take Mirage
5. BanMIBR Academy remove Dust2
6. BanShindeN remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (67% / 43%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Overpassprediction correct13:7
ShindeN 75%MIBR Academy 25%
The model gave 75% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Ancientprediction correct13:8
ShindeN 52%MIBR Academy 48%
The model gave 52% on ShindeN — the map was taken by ShindeN.
Model check result
Model favoriteShindeN · 72%
Series resultShindeN 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2