CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Black Phoenix#57 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SINNERS pick
64%63%
SINNERS · 21 mapnearly even +1%Black Phoenix · 55 maps
MirageBlack Phoenix ban
63%47%
SINNERS · 20 mapsedge SINNERS +16%Black Phoenix · 26 maps
Cachepossible decider
43%46%
SINNERS · 17 mapsnearly even -3%Black Phoenix · 20 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
42%50%
SINNERS · 8 mapsedge Black Phoenix +8%Black Phoenix · 24 maps
InfernoBlack Phoenix pick
40%65%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge Black Phoenix +25%Black Phoenix · 19 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%31%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge SINNERS +19%Black Phoenix · 22 maps
AncientBlack Phoenix ban
67%33%
SINNERS · 14 mapsedge SINNERS +34%Black Phoenix · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanBlack Phoenix remove Ancient
3. PickSINNERS take Dust2
4. PickBlack Phoenix take Inferno
5. BanBlack Phoenix remove Mirage
6. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
DeciderCache (43% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
SINNERS 48%Black Phoenix 52%
The model gave 52% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Mirageprediction missed3:13
SINNERS 68%Black Phoenix 32%
The model gave 68% on SINNERS — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Nukeprediction correct10:13
SINNERS 42%Black Phoenix 58%
The model gave 58% on Black Phoenix — the map was taken by Black Phoenix.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 58%
Series resultBlack Phoenix 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 3