PGL Masters Bucharest 2026 Europe Open Qualifier 2 · BO1
result vs prediction
SINNERS#44 in the world · win 19:16series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 19:16
CYBERSHOKE#91 in the world · loss 16:19The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2CYBERSHOKE ban
57%53%
SINNERS · 10 mapsnearly even +4%CYBERSHOKE · 15 maps
AncientSINNERS ban
36%53%
SINNERS · 7 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +17%CYBERSHOKE · 13 maps
Miragepossible decider
50%67%
SINNERS · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +17%CYBERSHOKE · 8 maps
CacheCYBERSHOKE ban
42%50%
SINNERS · 8 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +8%CYBERSHOKE · 2 maps
NukeSINNERS ban
40%46%
SINNERS · 1 mapedge CYBERSHOKE +6%CYBERSHOKE · 9 maps
InfernoCYBERSHOKE ban
50%50%
SINNERS · 6 mapsnearly even +0%CYBERSHOKE · 0 maps
OverpassSINNERS ban
50%63%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge CYBERSHOKE +13%CYBERSHOKE · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Nuke
2. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Inferno
3. BanSINNERS remove Overpass
4. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Cache
5. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
6. BanCYBERSHOKE remove Dust2
DeciderMirage (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct19:16
SINNERS 55%CYBERSHOKE 45%
The model gave 55% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 62%
Series resultSINNERS 19:16
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 1