BLAST Bounty 2026 Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 1:2
FUT#8 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientFUT pick
25%73%
SINNERS · 4 mapsedge FUT +48%FUT · 7 maps
MirageSINNERS pick
56%40%
SINNERS · 5 mapsedge SINNERS +16%FUT · 6 maps
Overpasspossible decider
67%45%
SINNERS · 2 mapsedge SINNERS +22%FUT · 7 maps
NukeFUT ban
43%22%
SINNERS · 3 mapsedge SINNERS +21%FUT · 5 maps
Dust2SINNERS ban
43%38%
SINNERS · 3 mapsedge SINNERS +5%FUT · 4 maps
InfernoFUT ban
25%50%
SINNERS · 4 mapsedge FUT +25%FUT · 0 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%67%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge FUT +17%FUT · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanFUT remove Inferno
3. PickSINNERS take Mirage
4. PickFUT take Ancient
5. BanFUT remove Nuke
6. BanSINNERS remove Dust2
DeciderOverpass (67% / 45%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct13:6
SINNERS 58%FUT 42%
The model gave 58% on SINNERS — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Ancientprediction correct3:13
SINNERS 10%FUT 90%
The model gave 90% on FUT — the map was taken by FUT.
Mirageprediction missed8:13
SINNERS 65%FUT 35%
The model gave 65% on SINNERS — the map was taken by FUT.
Model check result
Model favoriteFUT · 76%
Series resultFUT 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3