CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#21 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSINNERS ban
50%50%
SINNERS · 12 mapsnearly even +0%Nemiga · 18 maps
Dust2SINNERS pick
65%56%
SINNERS · 16 mapsedge SINNERS +9%Nemiga · 14 maps
Miragepossible decider
60%69%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge Nemiga +9%Nemiga · 9 maps
CacheNemiga pick
47%60%
SINNERS · 11 mapsedge Nemiga +13%Nemiga · 6 maps
NukeNemiga ban
38%54%
SINNERS · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +16%Nemiga · 9 maps
AnubisSINNERS ban
50%73%
SINNERS · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Nemiga · 11 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
46%60%
SINNERS · 9 mapsedge Nemiga +14%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Anubis
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. PickSINNERS take Dust2
4. PickNemiga take Cache
5. BanNemiga remove Nuke
6. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
DeciderMirage (60% / 69%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction correct10:13
SINNERS 34%Nemiga 66%
The model gave 66% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Mirageprediction correct10:13
SINNERS 43%Nemiga 57%
The model gave 57% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 58%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2