CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SINNERS#45 in the world · win 2:0series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Rune Eaters#114 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageRune Eaters pick
44%59%
SINNERS · 5 mapsedge Rune Eaters +15%Rune Eaters · 23 maps
Dust2possible decider
43%56%
SINNERS · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +13%Rune Eaters · 23 maps
AncientSINNERS ban
22%57%
SINNERS · 5 mapsedge Rune Eaters +35%Rune Eaters · 19 maps
InfernoSINNERS ban
29%50%
SINNERS · 3 mapsedge Rune Eaters +21%Rune Eaters · 12 maps
NukeRune Eaters ban
33%44%
SINNERS · 2 mapsedge Rune Eaters +11%Rune Eaters · 5 maps
DefaultSINNERS pick
50%50%
SINNERS · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Rune Eaters · 4 maps
OverpassRune Eaters ban
60%33%
SINNERS · 1 mapedge SINNERS +27%Rune Eaters · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSINNERS remove Ancient
2. BanRune Eaters remove Overpass
3. PickSINNERS take Default
4. PickRune Eaters take Mirage
5. BanRune Eaters remove Nuke
6. BanSINNERS remove Inferno
DeciderDust2 (43% / 56%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed16:12
SINNERS 40%Rune Eaters 60%
The model gave 60% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Mirageprediction missed13:5
SINNERS 33%Rune Eaters 67%
The model gave 67% on Rune Eaters — the map was taken by SINNERS.
Model check result
Model favoriteSINNERS · 65%
Series resultSINNERS 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2