ESN Fall Showdown 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The Huns#123 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
NukeSpace pick
50%50%
Space · 2 mapsnearly even +0%The Huns · 16 maps
Dust2The Huns pick
50%62%
Space · 0 mapsedge The Huns +12%The Huns · 17 maps
InfernoThe Huns ban
50%22%
Space · 2 mapsedge Space +28%The Huns · 14 maps
AncientSpace ban
50%56%
Space · 0 mapsedge The Huns +6%The Huns · 12 maps
MirageThe Huns ban
40%36%
Space · 1 mapnearly even +4%The Huns · 10 maps
CacheSpace ban
50%56%
Space · 0 mapsedge The Huns +6%The Huns · 5 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpace remove Cache
2. BanThe Huns remove Inferno
3. PickSpace take Nuke
4. PickThe Huns take Dust2
5. BanThe Huns remove Mirage
6. BanSpace remove Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed4:13
Space 52%The Huns 48%
The model gave 52% on Space — the map was taken by The Huns.
Infernoprediction missed9:13
Space 80%The Huns 20%
The model gave 80% on Space — the map was taken by The Huns.
Model check result
Model favoriteThe Huns · 63%
Series resultThe Huns 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2