CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 0:1series probability
63%37%
probability at match start · final 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
58%80%
SPARTA · 22 mapsedge Bebop +22%Bebop · 6 maps
MirageBebop pick
44%60%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge Bebop +16%Bebop · 11 maps
NukeBebop ban
47%22%
SPARTA · 13 mapsedge SPARTA +25%Bebop · 5 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
29%29%
SPARTA · 13 mapsnearly even +0%Bebop · 3 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
50%63%
SPARTA · 8 mapsedge Bebop +13%Bebop · 4 maps
OverpassBebop ban
45%60%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge Bebop +15%Bebop · 1 map
Defaultpossible decider
40%30%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge SPARTA +10%Bebop · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanBebop remove Overpass
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickBebop take Mirage
5. BanBebop remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
DeciderDefault (40% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Defaultprediction missed0:1
SPARTA 61%Bebop 39%
The model gave 61% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Bebop.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 63%
Series resultBebop 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 1