CCT 2026 Europe Series 8 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#89 in the world · win 2:0series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
65%65%
SPARTA · 39 mapsnearly even +0%ex-Zero Tenacity · 13 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%53%
SPARTA · 20 mapsnearly even -3%ex-Zero Tenacity · 11 maps
Mirageex-Zero Tenacity ban
58%60%
SPARTA · 22 mapsnearly even -2%ex-Zero Tenacity · 6 maps
Cacheex-Zero Tenacity pick
47%78%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +31%ex-Zero Tenacity · 14 maps
Ancientex-Zero Tenacity ban
46%50%
SPARTA · 20 mapsnearly even -4%ex-Zero Tenacity · 0 maps
InfernoSPARTA ban
56%73%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +17%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%55%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge ex-Zero Tenacity +12%ex-Zero Tenacity · 7 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Ancient
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. Pickex-Zero Tenacity take Cache
5. Banex-Zero Tenacity remove Mirage
6. BanSPARTA remove Inferno
DeciderNuke (50% / 53%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed13:6
SPARTA 18%ex-Zero Tenacity 82%
The model gave 82% on ex-Zero Tenacity — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct13:2
SPARTA 53%ex-Zero Tenacity 47%
The model gave 53% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteex-Zero Tenacity · 55%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map1 of 2