CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
53%47%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
53%56%
SPARTA · 11 mapsnearly even -3%GenOne · 12 maps
NukeGenOne pick
60%53%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge SPARTA +7%GenOne · 11 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%45%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 7 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%70%
SPARTA · 4 mapsedge GenOne +20%GenOne · 6 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
50%44%
SPARTA · 4 mapsedge SPARTA +6%GenOne · 5 maps
MirageGenOne ban
33%50%
SPARTA · 8 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%GenOne · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickGenOne take Nuke
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (50% / 70%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction correct7:13
SPARTA 44%GenOne 56%
The model gave 56% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Overpassprediction correct13:11
SPARTA 58%GenOne 42%
The model gave 58% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Nukeprediction missed8:13
SPARTA 57%GenOne 43%
The model gave 57% on SPARTA — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 53%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3