CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
29%71%
probability at match start · final 1:2
GenOne#95 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
59%69%
SPARTA · 18 mapsedge GenOne +10%GenOne · 32 maps
NukeGenOne pick
47%62%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge GenOne +15%GenOne · 22 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%45%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge GenOne +12%GenOne · 18 maps
OverpassGenOne ban
50%35%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge SPARTA +15%GenOne · 13 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%62%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge GenOne +17%GenOne · 9 maps
MirageGenOne ban
40%50%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge GenOne +10%GenOne · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%57%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge GenOne +7%GenOne · 10 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanGenOne remove Mirage
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickGenOne take Nuke
5. BanGenOne remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (45% / 62%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct4:13
SPARTA 40%GenOne 60%
The model gave 60% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Dust2prediction missed13:9
SPARTA 36%GenOne 64%
The model gave 64% on GenOne — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Nukeprediction correct8:13
SPARTA 35%GenOne 65%
The model gave 65% on GenOne — the map was taken by GenOne.
Model check result
Model favoriteGenOne · 71%
Series resultGenOne 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3