CCT 2026 Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:0series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Honvéd#144 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
61%67%
SPARTA · 29 mapsedge Honvéd +6%Honvéd · 20 maps
MirageHonvéd pick
55%50%
SPARTA · 18 mapsedge SPARTA +5%Honvéd · 18 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
38%57%
SPARTA · 17 mapsedge Honvéd +19%Honvéd · 10 maps
NukeHonvéd ban
47%63%
SPARTA · 15 mapsedge Honvéd +16%Honvéd · 4 maps
InfernoHonvéd ban
40%29%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge SPARTA +11%Honvéd · 3 maps
Overpasspossible decider
45%29%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +16%Honvéd · 3 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
43%71%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge Honvéd +28%Honvéd · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanHonvéd remove Inferno
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickHonvéd take Mirage
5. BanHonvéd remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderOverpass (45% / 29%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction missed13:8
SPARTA 38%Honvéd 62%
The model gave 62% on Honvéd — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Mirageprediction correct13:9
SPARTA 52%Honvéd 48%
The model gave 52% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 55%
Series resultSPARTA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2