CCT 2026 Europe Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
44%56%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Lazer Cats#117 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
53%33%
SPARTA · 13 mapsedge SPARTA +20%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
MirageSPARTA ban
33%60%
SPARTA · 8 mapsedge Lazer Cats +27%Lazer Cats · 1 map
AncientLazer Cats pick
40%50%
SPARTA · 6 mapsedge Lazer Cats +10%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
NukeLazer Cats ban
55%50%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge SPARTA +5%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
Infernopossible decider
50%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
OverpassLazer Cats ban
56%50%
SPARTA · 5 mapsedge SPARTA +6%Lazer Cats · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Lazer Cats · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanLazer Cats remove Overpass
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickLazer Cats take Ancient
5. BanLazer Cats remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Mirage
DeciderInferno (50% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
SPARTA 37%Lazer Cats 63%
The model gave 63% on Lazer Cats — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
SPARTA 72%Lazer Cats 28%
The model gave 72% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Infernoprediction missed11:13
SPARTA 50%Lazer Cats 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Lazer Cats.
Model check result
Model favoriteLazer Cats · 56%
Series resultLazer Cats 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3