CCT 2026 Europe Series 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 1:2series probability
59%41%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Leo#89 in the world · win 2:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
61%67%
SPARTA · 19 mapsedge Leo +6%Leo · 11 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
31%40%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge Leo +9%Leo · 6 maps
NukeLeo ban
44%29%
SPARTA · 12 mapsedge SPARTA +15%Leo · 3 maps
MirageLeo pick
40%71%
SPARTA · 11 mapsedge Leo +31%Leo · 3 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%36%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge SPARTA +14%Leo · 10 maps
Infernopossible decider
45%60%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge Leo +15%Leo · 1 map
OverpassLeo ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 6 mapsnearly even +0%Leo · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanLeo remove Nuke
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickLeo take Mirage
5. BanLeo remove Overpass
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderInferno (45% / 60%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
SPARTA 38%Leo 62%
The model gave 62% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Mirageprediction missed13:8
SPARTA 23%Leo 77%
The model gave 77% on Leo — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Dust2prediction correct8:13
SPARTA 44%Leo 56%
The model gave 56% on Leo — the map was taken by Leo.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 59%
Series resultLeo 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3