CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#102 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
48%52%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#56 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientNemiga pick
60%60%
SPARTA · 1 mapnearly even +0%Nemiga · 1 map
Dust2Nemiga ban
60%50%
SPARTA · 1 mapedge SPARTA +10%Nemiga · 0 maps
MirageSPARTA pick
50%40%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge SPARTA +10%Nemiga · 1 map
OverpassSPARTA ban
50%60%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge Nemiga +10%Nemiga · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Overpass
2. BanNemiga remove Dust2
3. PickSPARTA take Mirage
4. PickNemiga take Ancient
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
SPARTA 47%Nemiga 53%
The model gave 53% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
SPARTA 63%Nemiga 37%
The model gave 63% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 52%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2