CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · loss 0:2series probability
36%64%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Nemiga#22 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageNemiga ban
40%44%
SPARTA · 6 mapsnearly even -4%Nemiga · 5 maps
Dust2SPARTA pick
58%50%
SPARTA · 8 mapsedge SPARTA +8%Nemiga · 2 maps
OverpassNemiga pick
57%80%
SPARTA · 3 mapsedge Nemiga +23%Nemiga · 6 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
38%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +12%Nemiga · 4 maps
Nukepossible decider
50%63%
SPARTA · 4 mapsedge Nemiga +13%Nemiga · 4 maps
InfernoNemiga ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Nemiga · 0 maps
AnubisSPARTA ban
50%43%
SPARTA · 0 mapsedge SPARTA +7%Nemiga · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Anubis
2. BanNemiga remove Inferno
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickNemiga take Overpass
5. BanNemiga remove Mirage
6. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
DeciderNuke (50% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct5:13
SPARTA 35%Nemiga 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Dust2prediction missed10:13
SPARTA 61%Nemiga 39%
The model gave 61% on SPARTA — the map was taken by Nemiga.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga · 64%
Series resultNemiga 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2