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CCT 2026 Europe Series 5 · BO3
result vs prediction
SPARTA#96 in the world · win 2:1
series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
SAW Youngsters#143 in the world · loss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2SPARTA pick
57%67%
SPARTA · 26 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +10%SAW Youngsters · 2 maps
AncientSPARTA ban
33%63%
SPARTA · 17 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +30%SAW Youngsters · 4 maps
MirageSPARTA ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 16 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 4 maps
InfernoSAW Youngsters pick
46%73%
SPARTA · 9 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +27%SAW Youngsters · 7 maps
NukeSAW Youngsters ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 14 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
45%50%
SPARTA · 7 mapsedge SAW Youngsters +5%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
CacheSAW Youngsters ban
50%50%
SPARTA · 4 mapsnearly even +0%SAW Youngsters · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSPARTA remove Ancient
2. BanSAW Youngsters remove Cache
3. PickSPARTA take Dust2
4. PickSAW Youngsters take Inferno
5. BanSAW Youngsters remove Nuke
6. BanSPARTA remove Mirage
DeciderOverpass (45% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:6
SPARTA 42%SAW Youngsters 58%
The model gave 58% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Infernoprediction correct9:13
SPARTA 22%SAW Youngsters 78%
The model gave 78% on SAW Youngsters — the map was taken by SAW Youngsters.
Mirageprediction correct13:11
SPARTA 50%SAW Youngsters 50%
The model gave 50% on SPARTA — the map was taken by SPARTA.
Model check result
Model favoriteSPARTA · 55%
Series resultSPARTA 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 3