Kibertochka Season 2 · BO3
live · recalculated in real time
Spirit Academy#111 in the worldseries probability now
80%20%
was 73% pre-match
DONSTU#174 in the worldIn live mode the model factors in the current map and round score, team winrate on the maps being played and form. The probability is recalculated as the match unfolds.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
54%37%
Spirit Academy · 9 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%DONSTU · 15 maps
AnubisDONSTU pick
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%DONSTU · 18 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
80%38%
Spirit Academy · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +42%DONSTU · 9 maps
CacheSpirit Academy ban
50%47%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsnearly even +3%DONSTU · 11 maps
NukeDONSTU ban
44%25%
Spirit Academy · 5 mapsedge Spirit Academy +19%DONSTU · 8 maps
InfernoSpirit Academy ban
50%50%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsnearly even +0%DONSTU · 6 maps
MirageDONSTU ban
38%40%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsnearly even -2%DONSTU · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Inferno
2. BanDONSTU remove Mirage
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickDONSTU take Anubis
5. BanDONSTU remove Nuke
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Cache
DeciderDust2 (54% / 37%)
Probability by map
For each map in the series — win chance factoring in the round score and historical map winrate over 3 months. Played maps are locked, the current one is recalculated by the score.
Anubisnot played · DONSTU pick— : —
Spirit Academy 57%DONSTU 43%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Spirit Academy 60% (1 maps) vs 50% (18 maps) for DONSTU.
Ancientnot played · Spirit Academy pick— : —
Spirit Academy 88%DONSTU 12%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Spirit Academy 80% (6 maps) vs 38% (9 maps) for DONSTU.
Dust2not played · decider— : —
Spirit Academy 67%DONSTU 33%
Historical winrate over 3 months: Spirit Academy 54% (9 maps) vs 37% (15 maps) for DONSTU.