CCT 2026 Challengers Europe Series 6 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
MirageSpirit Academy ban
38%38%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsnearly even +0%Mai Tai · 17 maps
Dust2Mai Tai ban
47%36%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsedge Spirit Academy +11%Mai Tai · 7 maps
DefaultSpirit Academy ban
50%38%
Spirit Academy · 0 mapsedge Spirit Academy +12%Mai Tai · 17 maps
AncientSpirit Academy pick
82%46%
Spirit Academy · 7 mapsedge Spirit Academy +36%Mai Tai · 9 maps
Nukepossible decider
40%30%
Spirit Academy · 6 mapsedge Spirit Academy +10%Mai Tai · 6 maps
AnubisMai Tai ban
67%33%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +34%Mai Tai · 5 maps
CacheMai Tai pick
43%50%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge Mai Tai +7%Mai Tai · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. BanMai Tai remove Anubis
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. PickMai Tai take Cache
5. BanMai Tai remove Dust2
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Default
DeciderNuke (40% / 30%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Cacheprediction missed16:12
Spirit Academy 40%Mai Tai 60%
The model gave 60% on Mai Tai — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Nukeprediction missed4:13
Spirit Academy 64%Mai Tai 36%
The model gave 64% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Mai Tai.
Anubisprediction correct13:11
Spirit Academy 80%Mai Tai 20%
The model gave 80% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 55%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 3