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CCT 2026 Europe Series 10 Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · loss 0:2
series probability
61%39%
probability at match start · final 0:2
megoshort#179 in the world · win 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientSpirit Academy pick
76%57%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsedge Spirit Academy +19%megoshort · 10 maps
Dust2Spirit Academy ban
53%54%
Spirit Academy · 13 mapsnearly even -1%megoshort · 9 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
50%47%
Spirit Academy · 8 mapsnearly even +3%megoshort · 11 maps
Cachemegoshort pick
50%56%
Spirit Academy · 10 mapsedge megoshort +6%megoshort · 5 maps
Nukemegoshort ban
40%50%
Spirit Academy · 11 mapsedge megoshort +10%megoshort · 0 maps
Anubismegoshort ban
75%57%
Spirit Academy · 4 mapsedge Spirit Academy +18%megoshort · 3 maps
Defaultpossible decider
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%megoshort · 6 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. Banmegoshort remove Nuke
3. PickSpirit Academy take Ancient
4. Pickmegoshort take Cache
5. Banmegoshort remove Anubis
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Dust2
DeciderDefault (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction missed5:13
Spirit Academy 73%megoshort 27%
The model gave 73% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by megoshort.
Mirageprediction missed11:13
Spirit Academy 50%megoshort 50%
The model gave 50% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by megoshort.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 61%
Series resultmegoshort 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map0 of 2