CCT 2026 Contenders Europe Series 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit Academy#111 in the world · win 2:0series probability
64%36%
probability at match start · final 2:0
sleepersloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2sleepers pick
33%50%
Spirit Academy · 5 mapsedge sleepers +17%sleepers · 0 maps
MirageSpirit Academy ban
29%50%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge sleepers +21%sleepers · 0 maps
NukeSpirit Academy pick
43%50%
Spirit Academy · 3 mapsedge sleepers +7%sleepers · 0 maps
Ancientsleepers ban
67%50%
Spirit Academy · 2 mapsedge Spirit Academy +17%sleepers · 0 maps
Anubissleepers ban
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%sleepers · 0 maps
CacheSpirit Academy ban
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%sleepers · 0 maps
Overpasspossible decider
60%50%
Spirit Academy · 1 mapedge Spirit Academy +10%sleepers · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit Academy remove Mirage
2. Bansleepers remove Ancient
3. PickSpirit Academy take Nuke
4. Picksleepers take Dust2
5. Bansleepers remove Anubis
6. BanSpirit Academy remove Cache
DeciderOverpass (60% / 50%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Dust2prediction missed13:11
Spirit Academy 31%sleepers 69%
The model gave 69% on sleepers — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Ancientprediction correct13:7
Spirit Academy 69%sleepers 31%
The model gave 69% on Spirit Academy — the map was taken by Spirit Academy.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit Academy · 64%
Series resultSpirit Academy 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2