BLAST Open Porto 2026 · BO3
result vs prediction
Spirit#1 in the world · win 2:0series probability
73%27%
probability at match start · final 2:0
FURIA#4 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Spirit pick
68%58%
Spirit · 15 mapsedge Spirit +10%FURIA · 8 maps
Miragepossible decider
69%64%
Spirit · 12 mapsedge Spirit +5%FURIA · 7 maps
AnubisFURIA ban
75%29%
Spirit · 8 mapsedge Spirit +46%FURIA · 3 maps
NukeFURIA pick
56%60%
Spirit · 5 mapsnearly even -4%FURIA · 6 maps
AncientFURIA ban
80%63%
Spirit · 6 mapsedge Spirit +17%FURIA · 4 maps
CacheSpirit ban
50%57%
Spirit · 6 mapsedge FURIA +7%FURIA · 3 maps
OverpassSpirit ban
33%71%
Spirit · 2 mapsedge FURIA +38%FURIA · 3 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSpirit remove Overpass
2. BanFURIA remove Anubis
3. PickSpirit take Dust2
4. PickFURIA take Nuke
5. BanFURIA remove Ancient
6. BanSpirit remove Cache
DeciderMirage (69% / 64%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct13:10
Spirit 73%FURIA 27%
The model gave 73% on Spirit — the map was taken by Spirit.
Cacheprediction missed13:5
Spirit 40%FURIA 60%
The model gave 60% on FURIA — the map was taken by Spirit.
Model check result
Model favoriteSpirit · 73%
Series resultSpirit 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map1 of 2