StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026 North America Closed Qualifier · BO3
result vs prediction
SportsBetExpert#69 in the world · win 2:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Marsborne#82 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
InfernoSportsBetExpert pick
64%67%
SportsBetExpert · 10 mapsnearly even -3%Marsborne · 8 maps
MirageMarsborne pick
57%67%
SportsBetExpert · 3 mapsedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 8 maps
AncientSportsBetExpert ban
60%67%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapedge Marsborne +7%Marsborne · 8 maps
Anubispossible decider
75%63%
SportsBetExpert · 4 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +12%Marsborne · 4 maps
Dust2Marsborne ban
40%50%
SportsBetExpert · 6 mapsedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 2 maps
NukeMarsborne ban
67%50%
SportsBetExpert · 5 mapsedge SportsBetExpert +17%Marsborne · 0 maps
OverpassSportsBetExpert ban
40%50%
SportsBetExpert · 1 mapedge Marsborne +10%Marsborne · 4 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanSportsBetExpert remove Ancient
2. BanMarsborne remove Nuke
3. PickSportsBetExpert take Inferno
4. PickMarsborne take Mirage
5. BanMarsborne remove Dust2
6. BanSportsBetExpert remove Overpass
DeciderAnubis (75% / 63%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Nukeprediction correct13:6
SportsBetExpert 69%Marsborne 31%
The model gave 69% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Anubisprediction correct13:4
SportsBetExpert 61%Marsborne 39%
The model gave 61% on SportsBetExpert — the map was taken by SportsBetExpert.
Model check result
Model favoriteSportsBetExpert · 52%
Series resultSportsBetExpert 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2