FiRe Last Chance 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
23%77%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Galorys#68 in the world · win 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
AncientGalorys pick
40%78%
Tactical Chaos · 1 mapedge Galorys +38%Galorys · 37 maps
Dust2Tactical Chaos pick
40%54%
Tactical Chaos · 1 mapedge Galorys +14%Galorys · 24 maps
AnubisGalorys ban
50%50%
Tactical Chaos · 0 mapsnearly even +0%Galorys · 14 maps
InfernoGalorys ban
50%33%
Tactical Chaos · 0 mapsedge Tactical Chaos +17%Galorys · 14 maps
NukeTactical Chaos ban
50%69%
Tactical Chaos · 0 mapsedge Galorys +19%Galorys · 12 maps
CacheTactical Chaos ban
50%47%
Tactical Chaos · 0 mapsnearly even +3%Galorys · 11 maps
Defaultpossible decider
50%67%
Tactical Chaos · 0 mapsedge Galorys +17%Galorys · 2 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTactical Chaos remove Cache
2. BanGalorys remove Inferno
3. PickTactical Chaos take Dust2
4. PickGalorys take Ancient
5. BanGalorys remove Anubis
6. BanTactical Chaos remove Nuke
DeciderDefault (50% / 67%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Ancientprediction correct6:13
Tactical Chaos 17%Galorys 83%
The model gave 83% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Nukeprediction correct2:13
Tactical Chaos 29%Galorys 71%
The model gave 71% on Galorys — the map was taken by Galorys.
Model check result
Model favoriteGalorys · 77%
Series resultGalorys 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map2 of 2