CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:0series probability
58%42%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Famalicão#153 in the world · loss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2Famalicão pick
50%57%
TDK · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +7%Famalicão · 3 maps
InfernoFamalicão ban
40%33%
TDK · 1 mapedge TDK +7%Famalicão · 2 maps
Overpasspossible decider
50%57%
TDK · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +7%Famalicão · 3 maps
AncientTDK ban
50%40%
TDK · 0 mapsedge TDK +10%Famalicão · 1 map
AnubisTDK pick
40%50%
TDK · 1 mapedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 0 maps
DefaultTDK ban
50%60%
TDK · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
MirageFamalicão ban
50%60%
TDK · 0 mapsedge Famalicão +10%Famalicão · 1 map
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTDK remove Ancient
2. BanFamalicão remove Mirage
3. PickTDK take Anubis
4. PickFamalicão take Dust2
5. BanFamalicão remove Inferno
6. BanTDK remove Default
DeciderOverpass (50% / 57%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction missed13:4
TDK 43%Famalicão 57%
The model gave 57% on Famalicão — the map was taken by TDK.
Dust2prediction missed13:1
TDK 40%Famalicão 60%
The model gave 60% on Famalicão — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteTDK · 58%
Series resultTDK 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by map0 of 2