CCT 2026 Europe Series 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
TDK#86 in the world · win 2:1series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: map winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Map veto prediction
For each map — both teams' winrate over 3 months. The model guesses who bans it and who keeps it: teams remove maps where they are weaker and pull toward their strong ones.
Dust2possible decider
67%46%
TDK · 2 mapsedge TDK +21%Lavked · 9 maps
MirageLavked pick
60%64%
TDK · 1 mapnearly even -4%Lavked · 10 maps
NukeTDK ban
50%57%
TDK · 0 mapsedge Lavked +7%Lavked · 10 maps
InfernoLavked ban
40%36%
TDK · 1 mapnearly even +4%Lavked · 7 maps
AncientTDK ban
60%70%
TDK · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%Lavked · 6 maps
OverpassTDK pick
60%60%
TDK · 1 mapnearly even +0%Lavked · 1 map
AnubisLavked ban
40%50%
TDK · 1 mapedge Lavked +10%Lavked · 0 maps
Most likely veto scenario
1. BanTDK remove Nuke
2. BanLavked remove Anubis
3. PickTDK take Overpass
4. PickLavked take Mirage
5. BanLavked remove Inferno
6. BanTDK remove Ancient
DeciderDust2 (67% / 46%)
Prediction by map vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start (map winrate over the 3 months before it). We compare against the actual result of each map.
Mirageprediction correct5:13
TDK 42%Lavked 58%
The model gave 58% on Lavked — the map was taken by Lavked.
Anubisprediction missed16:13
TDK 43%Lavked 57%
The model gave 57% on Lavked — the map was taken by TDK.
Dust2prediction correct13:4
TDK 70%Lavked 30%
The model gave 70% on TDK — the map was taken by TDK.
Model check result
Model favoriteLavked · 59%
Series resultTDK 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by map2 of 3